Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.487862 2.869356 3.290635 3.790519 4.367774 5.013791 5.792143
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.938273 2.427465 3.013912 3.769424 4.718198 5.871953 7.384346
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.549718 2.085301 2.775029 3.729897 5.020540 6.708876 9.092860
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.222395 1.753618 2.482892 3.559691 5.114394 7.286044 10.565076
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.977514 1.485540 2.224322 3.380539 5.152612 7.779566 11.995309
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.843984 1.352382 2.131908 3.419126 5.503753 8.768711 14.312792
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.710724 1.195319 1.975210 3.327916 5.632240 9.428331 16.218574
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.655050 1.152956 1.991599 3.515188 6.237485 10.941464 19.780702
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.597269 1.096679 1.974260 3.638960 6.748904 12.367967 23.425467
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.532072 1.016219 1.901239 3.649120 7.053288 13.466222 26.643943
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.452644 0.896691 1.738701 3.465156 6.960452 13.806284 28.453302
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.420544 0.863200 1.732998 3.582703 7.471626 15.383017 32.991159
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.397726 0.846601 1.761414 3.781121 8.195533 17.533594 39.179904
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.364810 0.804005 1.730896 3.852045 8.663985 19.231777 44.705854
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.331429 0.755200 1.680007 3.870655 9.021411 20.749073 50.105933
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.290328 0.682740 1.566699 3.730161 8.992736 21.392811 53.566774
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.253270 0.613773 1.450787 3.564327 8.875163 21.806225 56.531731
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.234929 0.586569 1.427892 3.619295 9.306620 23.614235 63.377066
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.210380 0.540337 1.352578 3.531497 9.362719 24.495185 67.946599
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.204077 0.539342 1.388750 3.736378 10.217621 27.575274 79.097075
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.194546 0.528465 1.398194 3.871999 10.909321 30.337411 89.881191
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.180265 0.502658 1.364831 3.885327 11.263831 32.234434 98.507977
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.158898 0.454091 1.263319 3.690771 10.990852 32.313593 101.675691